Optimized Comprehensive Market Cycle Scorecard

KalpaKuber Investments

Market Cycle Assessment Report

Market Cycle Scorecard 📈

***Optimized for Structural & Sentiment Analysis (Max Score 80)***

Assess long-term structural valuation and market sentiment using 8 key metrics.

1. Current CAPE Ratio (Shiller P/E):

10 years of inflation-adjusted earnings (e.g., Nifty 500).

2. Current P/B Ratio:

3. Current 10-Year Govt. Bond Yield (%):

Used for Equity Risk Premium.

4. Current Dividend Yield (%):

5. Market Cap to GDP Ratio (%):

Buffett Indicator: Market size vs. the economy.

6. India VIX (Volatility Index):

Fear Gauge (Contrarian Signal: Low VIX = High Risk/Complacency).

7. Fed Model Ratio (EY / 10Y Yield):

Relative attractiveness of Stocks vs. Bonds.

8. M2 Money Supply Growth (Y-o-Y %):

Macro Liquidity Fuel (Contraction is high risk).

Ready for Assessment...

Total Expensive Score: 0 / 80

Key Metrics Summary (Internal View):

1. For Mutual Funds/ETFs (SIPs/Lump Sum):

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2. For Individual Stocks (Lumpsum/Fresh Entry):

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3. For Bonds / Debt Allocation (Fixed Income):

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4. For Gold / Commodities (Hedge):

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**Review Frequency:** ...

**Expected Horizon for Signal:** ...